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Money Talk

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Chinese Lending Stalls as Domestic Demand Falters

Chinese banks issued 1.61 trillion yuan in new loans during June, falling significantly short of the 1.95 trillion yuan projected by analysts. This shortfall underscores a persistent cooling in credit demand, as both households and corporations remain cautious despite ongoing efforts by Beijing to stimulate economic activity through lower borrowing costs.

Chinese Lending Stalls as Domestic Demand Falters

The latest figures from the People's Bank of China highlight the struggle to revive growth, even as lending volume improved from the 520 billion yuan recorded in May. Xie Guangqi, head of the central bank's monetary policy department, characterized this deceleration as a "new normal," arguing that traditional loan indicators no longer capture the full scope of capital flowing into the real economy. Officials are now urging investors to monitor broader metrics, including combined bond and loan data, alongside interest rate trends.

Broader indicators present a mixed picture of the financial environment. Total social financing reached 3.36 trillion yuan in June, a notable increase from the 2.03 trillion yuan seen in May. Conversely, M2 money supply growth slowed to 8.0%, missing the 8.5% expectation. To combat these headwinds, the government has pushed commercial lenders to reduce costs, driving down corporate loan rates to roughly 3%. Looking ahead, the central bank plans to refine its use of overnight reserve repurchase agreements to ensure sufficient liquidity remains in the banking system as it navigates this period of sluggish demand.

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