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Global Soybean Oil Market Projected to Reach $57.66 Billion by 2031

The global soybean oil market is set to expand from $43.87 billion in 2026 to $57.66 billion by 2031, according to data from Mordor Intelligence. This growth, forecasted at a 5.62% CAGR, is driven by structural demand for biofuels and shifting supply-chain requirements in the European Union.

Global Soybean Oil Market Projected to Reach $57.66 Billion by 2031
Photo: Bio & News

Renewable energy mandates in the United States, Canada, Brazil, and the European Union provide a stable demand floor for soybean oil as a biofuel feedstock. This policy-driven growth is bolstered by the U.S. EPA’s 2026 mandate, which projects a 60% increase in biodiesel and renewable diesel production compared to 2025 levels. As North American capacity growth slows, major processors are increasingly looking to South America, where significant investments in crushing capacity across Brazil and Argentina are expanding global supply.

Simultaneously, the regulatory landscape is forcing a pivot toward transparency. The EU Deforestation Regulation, which mandates that soy products entering the European market be traceable and deforestation-free, creates a new barrier to entry for suppliers. Large and medium-sized operators face a compliance deadline of December 30, 2026, making the ability to document origin a critical competitive advantage. Major industry players including Bunge Limited, Cargill, and Archer-Daniels-Midland are now prioritizing supply-chain auditing and advanced extraction technologies, such as enzyme-assisted processing, to maintain margins and ensure compliance in a tightening market.

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