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JERA Chief Predicts Sustained LNG Price Hikes Through Winter

With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed to Qatari LNG shipments, global energy markets face a volatile winter. Yukio Kani, CEO of Japan’s JERA, warns that the ongoing stalemate in the region signals no immediate relief for supply chains, keeping upward pressure on natural gas prices in Asia and Europe.

JERA Chief Predicts Sustained LNG Price Hikes Through Winter

QatarEnergy has extended its force majeure on deliveries through the end of November, forcing importers to navigate a market already rattled by the highest price points since the 2022 energy crisis. Kani noted that the lack of Qatari supply, combined with historically low storage levels across Europe, creates a dangerous environment for both price-sensitive Asian buyers and European utilities.

Data from Gas Infrastructure Europe shows EU storage sites at 71% capacity, well below the 86% average of the past five years. Germany remains particularly exposed, with storage levels hovering near 58%. These supply constraints, exacerbated by the looming January 2027 ban on Russian LNG, suggest that the current price surge is not a temporary anomaly but the start of a sustained period of market instability. Faced with these prospects, many nations are pivoting toward coal and accelerated renewable targets to hedge against potential winter shortages.

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