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ASML Earnings Preview: AI Demand Fuels Potential Guidance Hike

Europe's most valuable listed company faces a crucial test Wednesday as third-quarter results arrive amid soaring demand for semiconductor manufacturing tools. With shares nearly doubling over the past year, investors are looking for signs that the Dutch equipment giant will lift its 2026 sales and margin targets for a third time.

ASML Earnings Preview: AI Demand Fuels Potential Guidance Hike

Analysts expect ASML to report sales of 11.71 billion euros, a significant leap from the 7.52 billion euros recorded during the same period last year. Gross profit is projected to reach 6.56 billion euros, with margins climbing toward 56%. These figures reflect the intense pressure on chipmakers to expand capacity for artificial intelligence infrastructure, keeping ASML’s order books full.

Financial institutions are closely monitoring potential adjustments to long-term outlooks. JPMorgan suggests that stronger shipments of deep ultraviolet lithography tools could prompt a nudge upward in 2026 guidance. Similarly, Jefferies analysts point to robust demand from logic customers in China and lucrative software upgrades as catalysts for fourth-quarter performance that may push annual targets toward the high end of current ranges. Beyond volume, CFO Roger Dassen has signaled that a tight market grants the company leverage for price increases, a strategy UBS expects to bolster margins across both deep and extreme ultraviolet product lines as the company moves to ramp up production capacity by 30% annually through 2028.

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