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AB InBev Faces Volume Slump as U.S. and China Markets Cool

A 0.3% organic volume growth forecast for the third quarter signals a sharp deceleration for Anheuser-Busch InBev, reflecting broader weakness in its critical American and Chinese territories. Analysts expect the world’s largest brewer to report these results Thursday, testing the momentum of a stock that climbed nearly 30% this year.

AB InBev Faces Volume Slump as U.S. and China Markets Cool

Revenue is projected to rise 4.1% over last year’s $15.13 billion, while normalized Ebitda—which hit $5.59 billion in the same period—is expected to grow organically by 3.9%. Despite this, the cooling appetite for beer in key regions forces investors to look toward the company's diversification strategy. Chief Executive Michel Doukeris is pivoting focus toward non-beer categories, specifically premixed cocktails and spritzers, to hedge against shifting consumer habits.

Geopolitical friction adds another layer of volatility for shareholders. AB InBev stock recently dipped 3.5% following the re-election of Brazilian President Lula da Silva, highlighting the company’s heavy exposure to the South American market. Bernstein analysts point to destocking in China and a sluggish U.S. beer environment as the primary drags on current performance, putting pressure on the group to justify its elevated full-year guidance during the upcoming earnings call.

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