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AbbVie Eyes Q4 Profit Turnaround as New Therapies Offset Humira Slump

AbbVie is expected to swing to a substantial profit in its fourth-quarter results on Wednesday, driven by rising revenue and the continued expansion of its newer immunology portfolio. Analysts polled by FactSet project a net income of $4.71 billion, a sharp reversal from the loss reported during the same period last year.

The biopharmaceutical giant enters the reporting period with momentum, as quarterly revenue is forecasted to hit $16.41 billion, up from $15.1 billion a year ago. On an adjusted basis, earnings are expected to reach $2.65 per share. This financial rebound follows a prior-year quarter weighed down by an unfavorable charge linked to emraclidine, an experimental antipsychotic drug.

Investors are focusing on three primary catalysts for the company's future growth:

  • The growth trajectory of Skyrizi and Rinvoq relative to the steep decline of Humira.
  • The financial impact of the $100 billion U.S. investment agreement reached with the Trump administration.
    • Potential M&A activity within the $250 billion global oncology sector.

Growth and Policy Shifts

While Humira's global sales plunged 55% last quarter due to biosimilar competition, AbbVie has successfully pivoted toward newer arthritis treatments. The upcoming report will signal whether these therapies can maintain enough velocity to permanently offset the erosion of the legacy portfolio. Furthermore, the market is evaluating how the company’s recent deal with the White House—trading lower Medicaid prices for tariff exemptions—influences capital expenditures and manufacturing costs.

Strategic expansion remains a focal point following reports of potential interest in Revolution Medicines. Although AbbVie officially denied being in discussions with the biotech firm, its intent to build a stronger presence in the cancer-drug market remains a central theme for shareholders. Shares of AbbVie have climbed 4.5% over the past three months, recently trading at $225.33.

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