Brent crude climbed back above $80 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate reached $76.28. The shift followed the cancellation of a trip by U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, who was slated to attend the talks. While the Swiss foreign ministry provided no specifics regarding the delay, the breakdown coincides with intensified military activity in the region. The IDF confirmed overnight strikes across southern Lebanon, framing the operations as a response to repeated ceasefire violations by Hezbollah.

Tensions surrounding the potential deal remain high. Recent reports indicate Vance warned Israeli leadership against undermining the agreement, suggesting that continued opposition could jeopardize U.S. military support. Tehran has maintained that its participation in the deal is strictly contingent upon a halt to Israeli military actions in Lebanon—a condition the Israeli government has shown no intent to meet. As tankers that had begun lining up to navigate the Strait of Hormuz now face an uncertain timeline, the market is bracing for a prolonged disruption in supply chain recovery.