Representatives from the National Iranian Oil Company have initiated outreach to major Asian refiners that have largely shunned Iranian crude for years due to stringent sanctions. While the U.S. government authorized the production and sale of Iranian petroleum products as part of a 14-point memorandum, the market response remains tepid. Most regional refineries are already operating with full inventories, having previously secured long-term supplies from West Africa and the Americas to hedge against Middle Eastern volatility.

Energy analysts remain skeptical of any immediate shift in trade flows. The uncertainty surrounding the short-term nature of the waiver and the potential for a sudden reversal in U.S. policy are creating significant hesitation among potential buyers. Sumit Ritolia of Kpler noted that Asia is unlikely to commit to Iranian crude while the geopolitical landscape remains fluid and sanctions policy continues to fluctuate. Despite this caution, Iran has already begun increasing shipments through the Strait of Hormuz following the lifting of the U.S. naval blockade.