S&P 500 5,235.18 +1.02%EUR/USD 1.0840 +0.21%GBP/USD 1.2710 +0.14%USD/JPY 149.50 −0.18%BRENT $82.40 −0.81%BTC $67,800 −0.21%GOLD $2,341 +0.55%NASDAQ 16,420.55 +0.74%S&P 500 5,235.18 +1.02%EUR/USD 1.0840 +0.21%GBP/USD 1.2710 +0.14%USD/JPY 149.50 −0.18%BRENT $82.40 −0.81%BTC $67,800 −0.21%GOLD $2,341 +0.55%NASDAQ 16,420.55 +0.74%
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Money Talk

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Gold and Silver Rally as Weak Jobs Data Shifts Fed Rate Expectations

A lackluster June payrolls report has triggered a rebound in precious metals, forcing investors to recalibrate their expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. With only 57,000 jobs added against a 115,000 consensus, the U.S. dollar retreated, providing the necessary breathing room for gold to reclaim the $4,100 per ounce threshold.

The report effectively pushed the timeline for potential tightening toward December, easing immediate pressure on non-yielding assets. Spot gold climbed to $4,135.60, marking its strongest weekly performance since late May, while silver snapped a seven-week losing streak. Despite the payroll miss, the 10-year Treasury yield held near 4.5%, suggesting that while the urgency for rate hikes has diminished, the market remains cautious.

Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to influence the background, though panic-driven demand is receding. Vessel traffic has stabilized at roughly 40 crossings per day, and oil prices—with WTI at $68.69 and Brent at $71.80—have retreated to near prewar levels. While the immediate energy-risk premium has faded, ongoing uncertainty regarding transit authority ensures a residual geopolitical bid remains embedded in gold prices. Technically, bulls are now eyeing a resistance zone between $4,162 and $4,214, while bears require a decisive break below the $3,959 support level to regain control.

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