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China’s Trade With Central Asia Hits $52.9 Billion Amid Regional Shifts

A 6.5 percent surge in trade between China and Central Asia during the first half of 2026 masks volatile shifts across the region, according to data from the PRC’s General Administration of Customs. While total turnover reached $52.94 billion, the gains were unevenly distributed, revealing stark economic imbalances between the five nations.

China’s Trade With Central Asia Hits $52.9 Billion Amid Regional Shifts

Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan drove the regional expansion, recording growth of 31 percent and 25 percent respectively. Kazakhstan’s trade with Beijing reached $27.2 billion, characterized by a notable jump in Chinese imports of Kazakh goods, which rose to $12.22 billion. Conversely, Uzbekistan’s commerce grew to $8.87 billion, though the relationship remains heavily weighted toward Chinese exports, which accounted for $7.65 billion of the total.

Kyrgyzstan saw a sharp contraction, with bilateral turnover falling from $14.25 billion to $9.7 billion. Most striking was the collapse in Kyrgyz exports to China, which plummeted to $75 million from $3.89 billion in the same period last year. This volatility fuels speculation regarding Kyrgyzstan’s role as a transit hub for sanctioned goods moving toward Russia, potentially involving gold or commodity-based payments. Meanwhile, Tajikistan’s trade grew by 15 percent to $2.35 billion, and Turkmenistan remained the only regional state to maintain a trade surplus with Beijing, despite a slight 1 percent dip in overall turnover to $4.82 billion as its natural gas exports continue a long-term decline.

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