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Money Talk

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Gold and Silver Tumble as Warsh Signals Hawkish Fed Path

Precious metals retreated sharply on Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh used his Jackson Hole address to underscore the bank’s commitment to curbing inflation. The hawkish shift, bolstered by payroll data revisions, sent short-end yields climbing and pushed the dollar higher, triggering a broad unwind across the commodities sector.

Gold and Silver Tumble as Warsh Signals Hawkish Fed Path

Spot gold plummeted 3.14% to trade near $4,456.00 an ounce, while silver dropped 4.24% to $66.210. The selloff was fueled by a significant repricing of interest rate expectations; market odds for a September hike jumped to 57.5% from 35.9%. The two-year Treasury yield rose 11.8 basis points to 4.348%, while the dollar index gained 0.5%, stripping away the appeal of non-yielding assets.

Technically, the damage to the metals market was pronounced. Gold broke through its 200-day moving average at $4,526.24, falling below key bear-market thresholds and testing retracement zones. Silver’s recent breakout structure above $70 stalled, leaving the metal in a precarious position as it struggled to maintain support near $66.00. Investors are now watching to see if this correction represents a momentary flush driven by Warsh’s commentary or the beginning of a deeper technical reset.

Geopolitical tensions, which typically provide a floor for defensive assets, offered little relief. Easing supply concerns in the Strait of Hormuz led to a dip in oil prices, further removing the inflation premium that had previously supported gold. With Brent crude settling at $89.31 and Nymex crude at $83.18, the absence of a fresh energy spike left gold vulnerable to the renewed hawkish momentum from the Fed.

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