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US Slashes Fuel Economy Targets in Shift Toward Gas-Powered Fleets

The US government has finalized a significant rollback of vehicle fuel efficiency standards, lowering the target to 34.9 miles per gallon by 2031. This reversal of the Biden-era mandate marks a strategic pivot away from aggressive electrification, prioritizing the continued production of high-margin gas-powered trucks and SUVs over emissions reduction.

US Slashes Fuel Economy Targets in Shift Toward Gas-Powered Fleets

The new fleetwide average represents a sharp decline from the 50.4 miles per gallon requirement previously set for 2031. Industry advocates, including the Alliance for Automotive Innovation, labeled the policy an appropriate correction to align with market realities. Conversely, environmental organizations argue the move undermines global climate goals and will lead to a surge in greenhouse gas emissions as drivers burn more gasoline.

Financial implications for major manufacturers are substantial. The administration estimates that total technology costs will drop by $60.6 billion through 2031. Among the primary beneficiaries, Stellantis is projected to save $6.6 billion, followed by Ford at $5.8 billion, Toyota at $4.5 billion, and Honda at $4.1 billion. The policy also terminates a credit-trading system by 2028, stripping away a financial advantage previously enjoyed by electric vehicle manufacturers like Tesla and Rivian.

This shift places the US at odds with the European Union and China, both of which are deepening their commitment to electric vehicle mandates. While the US eases restrictions, the EU maintains a legal phase-out of internal combustion engines by 2035, and China continues to utilize a rigorous dual-credit system to command 60% of global electric vehicle sales. By prioritizing short-term profitability for gas-powered fleets, the US effectively exits the competitive race for clean-energy dominance, leaving global automakers to manage divergent regulatory requirements across international markets.

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