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Alphabet Eyes Revenue Growth as AI and Waymo Take Center Stage

Alphabet is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter earnings on Wednesday, with analysts expecting a surge in profit to $31.91 billion as the company scales its Gemini AI model and expands its autonomous driving footprint.

Wall Street expects the Google parent company to report a profit of $31.91 billion, a significant jump from the $26.54 billion recorded during the same period last year. According to data from FactSet, revenue is projected to climb to $111.32 billion, up from $96.47 billion. While Alphabet shares recently dipped 1.7% to $339.01 in pre-earnings trading, the stock has rallied 67% over the past 12 months, reflecting high investor expectations for the company's technological pivot.

AI Integration and Search Resilience

The company’s strategic focus remains squarely on its Gemini AI model and its integration across the Google advertising stack. Mizuho analysts cite tracking data showing substantial growth in user engagement and improved advertiser returns, suggesting that Alphabet is successfully defending its competitive position. However, the core search business remains the critical metric for investors. Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak suggests that for the stock to maintain its momentum, the search division needs to deliver a "healthy beat" that proves AI advancements are enhancing rather than cannibalizing traditional revenue streams.

Beyond software, Alphabet is diversifying into infrastructure and transport to secure long-term growth. The company is currently seeking approval for a $4.75 billion acquisition of renewable energy developer Intersect, a move that would make it the first major tech firm to own its own power provider. Simultaneously, its robotaxi unit, Waymo, recently closed a $16 billion investment round, bringing its valuation to $126 billion. Waymo is rapidly scaling operations, with recent service launches in Miami and planned expansions into Minneapolis and New Orleans.

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