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Maybank Expected to Post Q4 Profit Growth on Improved Margins

Malayan Banking is projected to report a 4.4% rise in fourth-quarter net profit on Thursday, buoyed by stabilizing funding costs and a recovery in regional capital flows. Analysts polled by Visible Alpha anticipate a quarterly profit of 2.64 billion ringgit ($678.5 million), marking a steady conclusion to a year defined by resilient domestic demand and a strengthening ringgit.

Maybank Expected to Post Q4 Profit Growth on Improved Margins

The anticipated quarterly performance would bring Maybank's full-year net profit to 10.48 billion ringgit, a 3.9% increase over the previous year. Net interest income is expected to show significant momentum, with a projected 22% year-on-year surge to 4.09 billion ringgit for the final quarter. This growth follows a broader trend in the Malaysian banking sector, where shares of the country’s largest lender have climbed roughly 17% this year as foreign investors return to local equities.

Yield Improvements and Non-Interest Gains

A critical factor in the bank’s performance is the expansion of its net interest margin, which CIMB Securities analyst Ei Leen Tan expects to rise by approximately 4 to 5 basis points to 2.06%. This improvement is largely attributed to easing funding pressures and robust deposit growth. According to the report, Maybank’s high exposure to regional flows has allowed it to capitalize on increased foreign direct investment and bond inflows, creating a favorable liquidity environment.

Beyond traditional lending, non-interest income is expected to provide a substantial boost. Analysts from both Citi and CIMB point to strength in global markets income, specifically gains from foreign exchange, derivatives, and investment portfolios. Citi analyst Yong Hong Tan noted that fee-based income streams remained resilient through the end of the year, providing a diversified cushion against broader economic volatility.

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