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Mexican Inflation Cools to 3.94% as Seasonal Subsidies Take Hold

Mexico’s annual inflation rate dropped to 3.94% in May, marking its lowest reading since January. The decline follows a 0.21% dip in the consumer price index, driven largely by a sharp reduction in electricity costs and lower prices for seasonal fresh produce across the country, according to national statistics institute Inegi.

Mexican Inflation Cools to 3.94% as Seasonal Subsidies Take Hold

Energy costs led the retreat, falling 2.98% as summer electricity subsidies expanded into additional cities. These government-backed rate cuts, which vary by region through September or October, provided immediate relief for household budgets. Meanwhile, the core CPI rose 0.22% in May, bringing the annual core rate to 4.19%, its slowest pace since May 2025.

The Bank of Mexico, which manages a 3% inflation target, recently lowered its benchmark interest rate to 6.5%. Market analysts view the latest data as a justification for the central bank’s decision to pause further cuts. According to Nikos Tzabouras of Tradu, the current inflation print reinforces a holding stance, as the cooling figures remove pressure for immediate tightening while keeping further rate reductions off the table for the near term.

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